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Grain Market Insight
Afternoon Grain Comments 9-9-2026 – Corn spent the day getting sold by the big speculative funds ahead of Friday’s major USDA report, with traders guessing somewhere between 20,000 and 25,000 contracts came off what those funds had been holding. Yield guesses are all over the board heading into that report with some private estimates run up around 178 bushels an acre, while the Pro Farmer crop tour came in a lot lower at 173.2, and the way corn futures are trading right now suggests the market’s leaning toward the higher end of that range rather than the low one. Crop conditions slipped a point to 56 percent good-to-excellent, still trailing the 59 percent five-year average, with most of the weakness out west in the Corn Belt, though the crop itself is maturing a bit ahead of schedule this year. Beans found some support today on confirmed Chinese buying of 340,000 metric tons booked outright plus another 100,000 tons to an unknown buyer this morning. This puts China roughly halfway to the 25 million ton purchase goal the trade’s been watching all year. The StoneX Market Intelligence (MI) figures the remaining 12.5 million tons still needed, “is no small sum and will be a decent amount to wield as leverage” heading into the next meeting between Xi and Trump. On the yield side, StoneX is holding steady at 53 bushels an acre, with the crop tour guesses just under that at 52.5, a tight range, but one that still carries real price risk either way. Wheat drifted lower again today, more on a stretched market than any single piece of news. Soft export sales, Saudi Arabia skipping a tender, and talk of a possible Russia-Ukraine truce all worked against the bulls. As MI put it, “US futures may be running too far ahead of reality.” On the brighter side, a wetter pattern is moving into the winter wheat country just as planting gets underway, which should help the new crop get off to a good start. At the close today, cash corn was down 1 cents, cash wheat was down 13 cents, and cash beans were down 6 cents. Have a great rest of your evening.
Morning Grain Comments 9-9-2026 – The grain markets all had a two sided night session in a session of about average trade volume after weeks of mostly very big trade volume. The StoneX Quick Editorial (QE) this morning stated, “grain volume slowed overnight with corn leading what there was, favoring the downside both early and late in the overnight session; StoneX continues to indicate solid U.S. while the trade expects further yield/production/stocks cuts from USDA in their September S&D on Friday…” StoneX estimated the U.S. corn yields at 182.9 bpa yesterday, down from 184.8 bpa last month but still above the USDA's 180.7 bpa. The StoneX soybean yield estimate stayed at 53 bpa with USDA estimating 52.7 bpa in August. In world grain trade news, flour millers in South Korea have purchased the 1.8 million bushels of milling wheat they were tendering for from the U.S. but there has been no report if they purchased the 1.8 million bushels from Canada. At the end of the night session at 7:45 this morning Kansas City December wheat was 1.5 cents lower, Chicago December corn was down 3.75 cents, and Chicago November soybeans were 2.75 cents lower. Have a wonderful day.
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September 4 & 5 A rain that started at about 7:45 Friday evening and lasted until about 3:00 Saturday morning gave us between 0.5 and 0.8 inch of rain in Sublette.?
August 28 A nice thunderstorm this morning gave us 0.4 inch of rain in Sublette.
August 24 Another early morning rain gave us another 0.1 inch of rain.
August 17 An early morning rain in Sublette gave us 0.1 inch of rain here.
August 15 - 16 A rain that started Saturday evening gave us another 0.2 or a little more rain in Sublette.
August 14 An evening rain gave us 0.2 inch of rain in Sublette.
August 6 An early morning (night) rain gave us 0.75 inch of rain in Sublette.
July 23 Our Haskell County Fair rain gave us 0.1 inch of rain in Sublette.
July 10 Another early morning rain gave us 0.1 to 0.2 inch of rain in Sublette.
